trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 62% | 57% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +67.8% | +51.8% | 60% | 56% | -16.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +61.3% | +45.9% | 58% | 54% | -43.0% |
| all | 30 | +50.0% | +35.7% | 53% | 50% | -26.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +35.7% | 50% | -26.8% |
| 10% | +22.7% | 43% | -33.8% |
| 15% | +10.9% | 30% | -40.2% |
| 20% | -0.0% | 27% | -46.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $1,000 | $720 | −$280 (-28%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $330 | $376 | +$46 (+14%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $440 | $374 | −$65 (-15%) |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $166 | $204 | +$38 (+23%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $176 | $164 | −$13 (-7%) |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 64¢ | $100 | $89 | −$11 (-11%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 97¢ | $50 | $73 | +$23 (+45%) |
| Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots | Yes | 57¢ | 52¢ | $50 | $45 | −$5 (-10%) |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Over | 65¢ | 34¢ | $50 | $26 | −$24 (-48%) |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Over | 50¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $18 | −$32 (-63%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 6.5 Corners | Jun 21 | $101 | +$84 | +83% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $25 | +$14 | +55% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $253 | +$265 | +104% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $101 | +$29 | +29% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $25 | +$15 | +58% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$16 | +31% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 5.5 Corners | Jun 15 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $31 | +$5 | +15% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $50 | +$14 | +28% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $201 | +$19 | +9% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $51 | +$29 | +57% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 31 | $920 | −$920 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Jan 30 | $350 | +$49 | +14% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Nov 10 | $395 | −$395 | -100% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Nov 08 | $240 | −$9 | -4% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Nov 08 | $4,754 | −$228 | -5% |