trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 57% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 50% | 6% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 42% | 4% | -9.4% |
| all | 25 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 40% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.2% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -25.1% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $41 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $69 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $36 | +$2 | +5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -76% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $24 | +$4 | +18% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $66 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 24 | $13 | −$1 | -9% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 21 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 15 | $258 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 14 | $289 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 13 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 13 | $539 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 11 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | May 11 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State | Mar 04 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |