Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x81aa…cd8f
crypto · 1777 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$338 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$338 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$338
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1189 / 588
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1777 / 1777
History coverage75d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1777 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$33
30 days−$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 02 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 02 $9 +$4 +48%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $2 +$11 +546%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$338
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -11.8% -20.2% 73% 73% -20.8%
≤30d 568 -6.9% -15.8% 86% 27% -13.1%
≤90d 1777 -10.4% -18.9% 67% 19% -14.8%
all 1777 -10.4% -18.9% 67% 19% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 19% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 8% -22.9%
15% -33.8% 6% -30.4%
20% -40.3% 4% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records