Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:35:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x81a6…72c0
crypto · 115 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses92 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)114 / 115
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$8
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 86¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -2.0% -11.3% 82% 82% -11.1%
≤30d 114 -3.4% -12.6% 81% 80% -12.4%
≤90d 114 -3.4% -12.6% 81% 80% -12.4%
all 114 -3.4% -12.6% 81% 80% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 80% -12.4%
10% -21.0% 18% -20.8%
15% -28.6% 4% -28.5%
20% -35.6% 1% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.50 · official $4.29 · 209 history records