Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x817f…c2ff
crypto · 1984 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$311 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$259 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$259
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1508 / 505
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2013 / 1984
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day136.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2013 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$724
7 days−$527
14 days−$277
30 days−$259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$504
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 959 -22.6% -30.0% 56% 51% -37.8%
≤30d 2013 -2.5% -11.8% 75% 56% -15.8%
≤90d 2013 -2.5% -11.8% 75% 56% -15.8%
all 2013 -2.5% -11.8% 75% 56% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 56% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 42% -23.8%
15% -27.9% 31% -31.2%
20% -35.0% 15% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records