trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $49 | +$52 | +106% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $25 | +$20 | +79% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $27 | −$27 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $70 | −$32 | -46% |
| Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$8 | -90% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$11 | -72% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $17 | +$33 | +197% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $22 | +$7 | +33% |
| Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $8 | −$7 | -97% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $19 | +$18 | +95% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $2 | +$3 | +134% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $18 | +$8 | +44% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $11 | +$15 | +141% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $4 | +$4 | +90% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Jun 11 | $7 | +$3 | +52% |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | Jun 11 | $11 | +$4 | +40% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 | Jun 07 | $25 | +$20 | +80% |
| Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 06 | $19 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $18 | −$4 | -23% |
| Spread: Venezuela (-2.5) | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -91% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $37 | +$6 | +15% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $29 | +$29 | +103% |
| Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $11 | −$10 | -97% |
| United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 | Jun 06 | $20 | −$6 | -29% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 06 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 06 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 06 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $8 | +$7 | +95% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 02 | $3 | +$2 | +93% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 01 | $12 | +$8 | +65% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 33 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 42% | 42% | -3.7% |
| ≤30d | 92 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 45% | 43% | +4.7% |
| ≤90d | 282 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 45% | 44% | -15.1% |
| all | 1258 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 35% | 35% | -23.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.7% | 35% | -23.2% |
| 10% | -26.4% | 35% | -30.5% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 34% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 31% | -43.4% |