Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:36:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x816e…5b62
crypto · 1120 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$57 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$67
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses836 / 265
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1101 / 1120
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day162.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 19 History 1101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$12
14 days−$67
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 52¢ 54¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 49¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 48¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 60¢ 57¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 53¢ 22¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-58%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+144%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 45¢ 82¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+83%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 48¢ 72¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+51%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Barcelona 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 43¢ 46¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ 64¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 53¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -20%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +51%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$49
sports 17% +$7
other 15% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 50¢ $4 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 22m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 73¢ $6 24m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 65¢ $5 39m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 59¢ $5 48m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) SELL Qatar 82¢ $5 59m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 77¢ $6 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 62¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 85¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 66¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 48¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 3h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 61¢ $4 4h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 53¢ $4 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $4 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $4 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 691 +7.4% -2.9% 71% 60% -10.4%
≤30d 1101 +2.2% -7.6% 76% 45% -12.7%
≤90d 1101 +2.2% -7.6% 76% 45% -12.7%
all 1101 +2.2% -7.6% 76% 45% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover162.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 45% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 18% -21.0%
15% -24.5% 9% -28.7%
20% -31.9% 6% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.88 · official $31.82 · 2480 history records