Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:50:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
81 0x816b…9ec7 other 1451 markets active 0h ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,482 (-1%) realized −$1,482 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%1447W / 5L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$79per market
Trades / day60.7pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit44%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$970
7 days−$1,031
14 days−$970
30 days−$1,560
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 38% −$12
sports 25% +$54
politics 16% −$653
world 12% +$85
weather 3% +$3
tech 2% +$5
crypto 2% +$15
culture 1% +$1
economics 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 550 -0.1% -9.7% 99% 0% -13.2%
≤30d 1114 -0.1% -9.6% 100% 0% -11.3%
≤90d 1452 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -10.7%
all 1452 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -19.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$356 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.16 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,482
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1447 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1452 / 1451
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$79
Trades / day60.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1452 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 15 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assists Jun 15 $28 $0 +0%
Zizo: 1+ goals + assists Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Trezeguet: 2+ shots on target Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Maxim De Cuyper: 4+ goals + assists Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals + assists Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Amadou Onana: 2+ goals + assists Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists Jun 15 $28 $0 +0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ assists Jun 15 $14 $0 +0%
Trezeguet: 4+ shots Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Trezeguet: 2+ goals Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Maxim De Cuyper: 2+ goals Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Diego Moreira: 2+ shots Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Diego Moreira: 4+ shots Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Alexis Saelemaekers: 2+ shots Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assists Jun 15 $14 $0 +0%
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shots on target Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Will Charles De Ketelaere be in Belgium's Starting 11? Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? Jun 15 $200 +$1 +0%
Eric García: 1+ shots Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Álex Grimaldo: 1+ shots on target Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 4+ shots on target Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Ryan Mendes: 4+ goals + assists Jun 15 $14 $0 +0%
Marc Pubill: 2+ shots on target Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Marc Pubill: 1+ shots on target Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 2+ shots Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Eric García: 3+ shots Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 1+ shots Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 2+ shots on target Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 3+ shots Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Álex Grimaldo: 4+ shots on target Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 1+ assists Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Martín Zubimendi: 2+ shots on target Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Marc Pubill: 1+ shots Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Martín Zubimendi: 1+ assists Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Pedro Porro: 1+ assists Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Willy Semedo: 4+ goals + assists Jun 15 $14 $0 +0%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
Borja Iglesias: 2+ goals Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 15 $200 $0 +0%
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for Jun 15 $13 $0 +0%
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? Jun 15 $600 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 15? Jun 15 $100 $0 +0%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of June 15 2026? Jun 15 $200 $0 +0%
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalun Jun 15 $200 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $28 28m
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $50 28m
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $50 29m
Zizo: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $50 29m
Trezeguet: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $50 30m
Diego Moreira: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 30m
Maxim De Cuyper: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $50 31m
Maxim De Cuyper: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 31m
Emam Ashour: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 31m
Alexis Saelemaekers: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 31m
Diego Moreira: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $50 31m
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $50 32m
Trezeguet: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 33m
Trezeguet: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 34m
Amadou Onana: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 35m
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $14 35m
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $28 35m
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $14 38m
Will Charles De Ketelaere be in Belgium's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 48m
Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? BUY No 100¢ $70 1h
Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Alex Baena: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $20 3h
Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $20 3h
Alex Baena: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Marc Pubill: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Marc Pubill: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $50 3h
Eric García: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $50 3h
Eric García: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Alex Baena: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $50 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records