Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:54:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x813d…c60f
crypto · 1083 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$647 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$647 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$647
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses482 / 601
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1083 / 1083
History coverage69d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day15.7
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$115
7 days+$149
14 days+$107
30 days+$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$25 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$56 +526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$20 +189%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +139%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$45 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$11 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$647
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 +12.4% +1.7% 49% 49% +1.0%
≤30d 477 +5.9% -4.2% 44% 44% -4.4%
≤90d 1083 +5.8% -4.2% 45% 45% -3.9%
all 1083 +5.8% -4.2% 45% 45% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.2% 45% -3.9%
10% -13.4% 45% -13.1%
15% -21.8% 45% -21.5%
20% -29.4% 45% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records