Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:36:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x812c…19f9
crypto · 289 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$175 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$175 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses172 / 117
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)289 / 289
History coverage66d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$29
14 days−$30
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $43 −$25 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $30 +$1 +2%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $38 +$1 +3%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -83%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $15 +$5 +31%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 10 $52 −$2 -4%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +21%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $25 −$9 -34%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 -14%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 -15%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -23%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $18 +$6 +31%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$161
other 17% −$27
finance 6% +$3
tech 4% +$12
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 100¢ $3 1h
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 98¢ $3 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 87¢ $3 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 85¢ $6 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 86¢ $6 4h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 99¢ $6 10h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 81¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -6.0% -14.9% 55% 42% -15.5%
≤30d 197 -5.5% -14.5% 60% 39% -14.8%
≤90d 289 -5.0% -14.0% 60% 40% -15.0%
all 289 -5.0% -14.0% 60% 40% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 40% -15.0%
10% -22.2% 24% -23.1%
15% -29.8% 16% -30.6%
20% -36.6% 12% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 788 history records