Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:45:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
81 0x812a…71b7 crypto 1450 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (323 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$84 (-2%) realized −$84 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate88%1316W / 179L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day322.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (323 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1495 -3.8% -13.0% 88% 12% -9.6%
≤30d 1495 -3.8% -13.0% 88% 12% -9.6%
≤90d 1495 -3.8% -13.0% 88% 12% -9.6%
all 1495 -3.8% -13.0% 88% 12% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover322.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 12% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 2% -18.2%
15% -28.9% 1% -26.1%
20% -35.9% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1316 / 179
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1495 / 1450
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day322.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1495 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 89 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.05 · official $2.83 (match) · 3500 history records