Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x810f…d6ea
crypto · 758 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$738 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$738 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$738
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses604 / 154
Open positions0
Markets (closed)758 / 758
History coverage4d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day191.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 758 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$704
7 days−$738
14 days−$738
30 days−$738
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$738
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 758 -3.6% -12.7% 80% 36% -11.6%
≤30d 758 -3.6% -12.7% 80% 36% -11.6%
≤90d 758 -3.6% -12.7% 80% 36% -11.6%
all 758 -3.6% -12.7% 80% 36% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover191.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 36% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 15% -20.0%
15% -28.7% 8% -27.7%
20% -35.7% 6% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1375 history records