Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:57:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x8108…c791
crypto · 158 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,729 -61%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,729 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,729
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses59 / 138
Open positions0
Markets (closed)197 / 158
History coverage4d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day824.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,996
7 days−$5,729
14 days−$5,729
30 days−$5,729
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $795 $0 −$795 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $362 $0 −$362 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $498 $0 −$498 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $407 $0 −$407 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $371 $0 −$371 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $514 $0 −$514 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $285 −$276 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $795 −$795 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $362 −$362 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $498 −$498 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$25 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $407 −$407 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $371 −$371 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $514 −$514 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$9 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $201 −$197 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $260 −$260 -100%
Bitcoin above 75,400 on May 21, 11PM ET? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$64 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$51 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $188 −$169 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $371 −$371 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$333 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $84 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $235 −$224 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $129 +$210 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$96 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $80 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$11 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$439
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $74 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $182 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $67 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $9 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $88 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $34 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $16 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 -15.5% -23.5% 30% 19% -42.4%
≤30d 197 -15.5% -23.5% 30% 19% -42.4%
≤90d 197 -15.5% -23.5% 30% 19% -42.4%
all 197 -15.5% -23.5% 30% 19% -42.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover824.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 19% -42.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.8% 13% -47.9%
15% -37.5% 12% -53.0%
20% -43.6% 10% -57.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records