Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:36:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x8105…955a
sports · 419 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$976 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,021 · open +$46
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,236
Realized−$1,021
Unrealized+$46
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses160 / 254
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$486
Open positions4
Markets (closed)414 / 419
History coverage347d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 4 History 414 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$292
7 days+$1,456
14 days+$636
30 days−$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $490 $507 +$17 (+4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $370 $365 −$5 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 27¢ 42¢ $230 $354 +$124 (+54%)
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $100 $10 −$90 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Cardinals vs. Padres Cardinals 52¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Astros vs. Rangers Astros 27¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Stanford vs. BYU Stanford 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Yankees vs. Braves Yankees 47¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
76ers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Jaguars vs. Colts Colts 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Auburn vs. Oklahoma Auburn 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Daniel Hillier win the 2025 DP World India Championship? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 13¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles 47¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $214 +$509 +237%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $508 −$313 -62%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $1,683 −$744 -44%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $448 +$563 +126%
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $338 −$190 -56%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 13 $488 −$255 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $103 −$77 -74%
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $103 −$72 -70%
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $29 +$23 +80%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $472 −$289 -61%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $306 −$80 -26%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $306 +$309 +101%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $2,028 +$963 +48%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $313 −$130 -41%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $184 −$52 -28%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $417 −$332 -80%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $687 +$331 +48%
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) Jun 11 $405 +$308 +76%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $203 −$200 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $579 +$419 +72%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $608 +$477 +78%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $137 −$134 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -96%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $19 −$18 -98%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $66 +$42 +64%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $92 +$173 +188%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1,093 +$497 +46%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $1,292 +$405 +31%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $502 −$792 -158%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $373 +$348 +93%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $299 +$291 +97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $577 −$281 -49%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $396 +$199 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$33 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $52 +$26 +50%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Jun 08 $101 −$63 -62%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $765 −$150 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$25 -94%
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Wor Jun 07 $138 −$136 -98%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 07 $481 +$298 +62%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $635 −$487 -77%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $135 −$91 -67%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $308 +$327 +106%
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Work Jun 06 $230 −$212 -92%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $525 −$472 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 06 $27 −$25 -94%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $222 −$218 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $263 −$137 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$2,973
other 17% −$3,555
crypto 7% −$364
culture 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $377 2m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $723 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 27¢ $235 21m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 18¢ $195 33m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 45¢ $508 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 49¢ $579 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 51¢ $583 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $214 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 60¢ $709 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 51¢ $142 3h
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 8¢ $148 3h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 42¢ $137 3h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 40¢ $169 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 28¢ $211 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 50¢ $391 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 38¢ $4 3h
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 17¢ $338 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 20¢ $233 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 41¢ $488 12h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 20¢ $205 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 13h
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 1¢ $26 17h
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 1¢ $31 17h
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 3¢ $52 17h
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes 5¢ $183 17h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 31¢ $102 20h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ $160 21h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 24¢ $66 21h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 33¢ $306 22h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 93¢ $615 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 44% +1.8%
≤30d 116 -16.0% -24.0% 39% 39% -8.5%
≤90d 173 -2.1% -11.4% 39% 39% -9.3%
all 414 -6.5% -15.4% 39% 38% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 38% -10.3%
10% -23.5% 37% -18.9%
15% -30.9% 36% -26.7%
20% -37.7% 35% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,235.56 · official $1,237.95 (match) · 851 history records