Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80f9…24a3
other · 24 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
−$687 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$64 · open −$803
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,463
Realized+$64
Unrealized−$803
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions18
Markets (closed)6 / 24
History coverage2d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 18 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days+$64
14 days+$64
30 days+$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1,000 $786 −$214 (-21%)
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $40 $34 −$6 (-16%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $41 $31 −$10 (-25%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $40 $26 −$14 (-36%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+117%)
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $20 $6 −$14 (-69%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$31 +596%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $46 +$35 +76%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 +$8 +76%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 94% −$818
sports 6% +$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 12¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 2h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 14¢ $5 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $10 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $20 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $15 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 17h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 56¢ $10 19h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 94¢ $100 29h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1,029 47h
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $42 47h
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $103 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+74.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +92.5% +74.2% 67% 50% +23.5%
≤30d 6 +92.5% +74.2% 67% 50% +23.5%
≤90d 6 +92.5% +74.2% 67% 50% +23.5%
all 6 +92.5% +74.2% 67% 50% +23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +74.2% 50% +23.5%
10% +57.5% 50% +11.7%
15% +42.3% 50% +0.9%
20% +28.3% 50% -9.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,462.78 · official $1,462.78 (match) · 34 history records