trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -21.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $698 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Feb 02 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Feb 02 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 27 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Jan 20 | $850 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Jan 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 19 | $377 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 19 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Jan 16 | $132 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 15 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Jan 15 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Freiburg win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Jan 15 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 14 | $497 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mainz win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Jan 13 | $153 | $0 | -0% |
| Will RB Leipzig win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Jan 13 | $345 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 12 | $497 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 12 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jan 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |