Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:23:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80f2…3484
crypto · 885 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,221 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses422 / 462
Open positions1
Markets (closed)884 / 885
History coverage4d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day702.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 884 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$380
7 days−$96
14 days−$96
30 days−$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 84¢ 58¢ $51 $35 −$16 (-31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 41¢ 42¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $118 −$36 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$14 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$31 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $67 +$14 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$23 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $118 −$26 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$21 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $155 +$37 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$16 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$13 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$22 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$15 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $27 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $28 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $14 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $24 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 884 -2.2% -11.6% 48% 43% -9.9%
≤30d 884 -2.2% -11.6% 48% 43% -9.9%
≤90d 884 -2.2% -11.6% 48% 43% -9.9%
all 884 -2.2% -11.6% 48% 43% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover702.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 43% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 37% -18.5%
15% -27.7% 31% -26.4%
20% -34.8% 23% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.55 · official $50.55 · 3500 history records