Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:15:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80eb…d063
crypto · 2073 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$207 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$213 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$213
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses897 / 867
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1764 / 2073
History coverage134d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1764 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$25
14 days+$43
30 days+$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 18¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-44%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes 82¢ 1¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$225
world 1% +$1
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 +20.3% +8.9% 65% 63% +6.1%
≤30d 1655 +11.8% +1.1% 51% 50% +2.4%
≤90d 1740 +10.5% +0.0% 50% 50% +1.1%
all 1764 +10.3% -0.2% 51% 49% +0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.2% 49% +0.2%
10% -9.8% 48% -9.3%
15% -18.5% 48% -18.1%
20% -26.5% 47% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.61 · official $0.61 (match) · 3500 history records