Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T16:00:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
80 0x80ea…c728 crypto 494 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,664 (+11%) realized +$3,664 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -48% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -60% what you keep after slip
Net edge-60%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate47%456W / 508L
Whale WR3%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$67per market
Trades / day112.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 27d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$824
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-53.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 760 -60.2% -63.9% 36% 1% -87.9%
≤30d 964 -48.5% -53.4% 47% 1% -80.0%
≤90d 964 -48.5% -53.4% 47% 1% -80.0%
all 964 -48.5% -53.4% 47% 1% -80.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.4% 1% -80.0%
10% ← realistic here -57.9% 0% -81.9%
15% -61.9% 0% -83.7%
20% -65.7% 0% -85.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -78% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -49% · $-wt -78% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 3% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -1% → late -96% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$235 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.02 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,664
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses456 / 508
Whale WR (big bets)3%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)964 / 494
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$67
Trades / day112.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 964 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 21 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 21 $1,272 −$1,272 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 21 $1,282 −$1,282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 21 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $1,343 −$1,343 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $680 −$680 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $338 −$338 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 21 $126 −$126 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 21 $229 −$229 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 21 $1,462 −$1,462 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 21 $489 −$489 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $471 −$471 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $416 −$416 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $2,280 −$2,280 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $759 −$759 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 21 $1,054 −$1,054 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 21 $482 −$482 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $546 −$546 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 21 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 21 $988 −$988 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 21 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 21 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 21 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 21 $164 −$164 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $16 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records