trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 0% | -8.0% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -6.2% | -15.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 15 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 40% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | $372 | $364 | −$8 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $216 | $0 | +0% |
| US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | Jun 19 | $241 | −$23 | -10% |
| Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $487 | +$13 | +3% |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $483 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spread: Albania (-2.5) | Jun 04 | $461 | +$24 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $461 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 03 | $451 | +$39 | +9% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Jun 02 | $419 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Nice (-2.5) | May 28 | $471 | +$19 | +4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $465 | $0 | +0% |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5 | May 24 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 10 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5) | Apr 19 | $340 | +$11 | +3% |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | Apr 18 | $342 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | Mar 28 | $92 | −$1 | -2% |