Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:38:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80d2…47df
crypto · 1469 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$241 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$241 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$241
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses928 / 541
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1469 / 1469
History coverage31d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day78.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$276
14 days−$252
30 days−$386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$7 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $24 +$14 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$241
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 -32.1% -38.5% 47% 37% -18.7%
≤30d 1446 -4.6% -13.7% 63% 59% -13.9%
≤90d 1469 -4.3% -13.4% 63% 59% -11.9%
all 1469 -4.3% -13.4% 63% 59% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 59% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 51% -20.3%
15% -29.3% 25% -28.0%
20% -36.2% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records