Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:33:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
80 0x80cb…5a86 crypto 330 markets active 1h ago coverage 20d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$571 (-8%) realized −$571 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate28%91W / 239L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day113.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$502
14 days−$912
30 days−$1,278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,257
other 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -18.7% -26.5% 27% 24% -36.9%
≤30d 330 -5.9% -14.8% 28% 25% -34.8%
≤90d 330 -5.9% -14.8% 28% 25% -34.8%
all 330 -5.9% -14.8% 28% 25% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 25% -34.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 24% -41.1%
15% -30.4% 23% -46.8%
20% -37.2% 20% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$13 · ×1.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$571
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses91 / 239
Open positions0
Markets (closed)330 / 330
History coverage20d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day113.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 330 Trades
no open positions (244 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $57 −$24 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $34 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$11 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$20 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $65 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$17 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$10 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$26 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -94%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$16 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $33 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $17 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $19 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2276 history records