trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +24.9% | +13.0% | 12% | 12% | -65.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 11% | 11% | -67.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 11% | 11% | -67.4% |
| all | 11 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 18% | 9% | -58.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.9% | 9% | -58.4% |
| 10% | -14.9% | 9% | -62.4% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 9% | -66.0% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 9% | -69.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $2,000 | $2,158 | +$158 (+8%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $1,000 | $1,047 | +$47 (+5%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 36¢ | $500 | $888 | +$388 (+78%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $513 | −$381 | -74% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $2,050 | −$244 | -12% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $2,273 | −$2,250 | -99% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $609 | −$396 | -65% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Draw at halftime? | Jun 15 | $195 | −$185 | -95% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $764 | −$525 | -69% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $103 | +$733 | +714% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2,047 | −$2,000 | -98% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $520 | −$500 | -96% |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jan 31 | $3,144 | −$1,853 | -59% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Jan 24 | $1,838 | +$60 | +3% |