trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 50% | 0% | -12.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 36% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 36% | 0% | -10.8% |
| all | 28 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 50% | 4% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 4% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 4% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $49 | −$8 | -17% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $77 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 22 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Apr 12 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April? | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Apr 11 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 09 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 06 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Apr 02 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 20 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |