Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80a9…ad8b
crypto · 298 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$66,119 -162%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66,141 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,726
Realized−$66,141
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses151 / 332
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions1
Markets (closed)483 / 298
History coverage13d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day270.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 483 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63,985
7 days−$63,632
14 days−$66,141
30 days−$66,141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1,704 $1,726 +$22 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) Shandong Taishan FC 94¢ 0¢ $786 $0 −$786 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In B8 37¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves 90¢ 0¢ $711 $0 −$711 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-20? Yes 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragons Drexel Dragons 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Hawks Hawks 15¢ 0¢ $1,053 $0 −$1,053 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14? No 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 95¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Spread: FK Teplice (-1.5) FC Zlín 95¢ 0¢ $401 $0 −$401 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Kings Rockets 92¢ 0¢ $925 $0 −$925 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Spurs Hawks 27¢ 0¢ $513 $0 −$513 (-100%)
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) Shandong Taishan FC 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
76ers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 6¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5) Al Fayha Saudi Club 92¢ 0¢ $811 $0 −$811 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $786 −$786 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $711 −$711 -100%
Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-20? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragons Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Clippers vs. Hawks Jun 13 $1,053 −$1,005 -95%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14? Jun 13 $6 −$8 -135%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Spread: FK Teplice (-1.5) Jun 13 $401 −$401 -100%
Rockets vs. Kings Jun 13 $925 −$925 -100%
Hawks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $513 −$513 -100%
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
76ers vs. Grizzlies Jun 13 $112 −$108 -96%
Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5) Jun 13 $811 −$811 -100%
Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $415 −$415 -100%
Bulls vs. Jazz Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Exact Score: Kansas City Current 3 - 0 Boston Legacy FC? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Clippers vs. Kings Jun 13 $504 −$504 -100%
Seattle Redhawks vs. UC Davis Aggies Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5 Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Clippers vs. Rockets Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Pelicans vs. Mavericks Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Pistons vs. Heat Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19? Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Nuggets vs. Suns Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22? Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Exact Score: Kansas City Current 2 - 1 Boston Legacy FC? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21? Jun 13 $1,520 −$1,520 -100%
Devils vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Pistons vs. Hawks Jun 13 $173 −$173 -100%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-25? Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Wright State Raiders vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 162.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-11-22? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Jun 13 $9 +$6 +62%
Suns vs. Lakers Jun 13 $748 −$748 -100%
Chennai: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Federico Agustin Gomez Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16? Jun 13 $13 −$41 -322%
Spread: Malmo FF (-2.5) Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Exact Score: Kansas City Current 3 - 1 Boston Legacy FC? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $1,509 −$1,509 -100%
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecs Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3) Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2025-12-20? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 13 $534 −$534 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% +$743
crypto 43% −$2,765
other 9% +$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $1,705 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 94¢ $664 7h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 94¢ $942 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $47 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 12h
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 96¢ $1,059 24h
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) BUY Knicks 96¢ $1,364 2d
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) SELL UD Las Palmas 100¢ $1,364 2d
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) BUY UD Las Palmas 97¢ $1,326 2d
Spread: UD Almería (-2.5) BUY CD Castellón 98¢ $1,304 3d
Spread: UD Almería (-2.5) BUY CD Castellón 97¢ $14 3d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $2 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $7 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $10 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $10 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $69 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $743 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $97 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $52 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $100 5d
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) BUY FC Ryūkyū 98¢ $245 5d
Spread: Iwaki FC (-1.5) SELL Tokushima Vortis 100¢ $1,333 5d
Spread: Iwaki FC (-1.5) BUY Tokushima Vortis 97¢ $673 5d
Spread: Iwaki FC (-1.5) BUY Tokushima Vortis 97¢ $379 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-42.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -82.7% -84.3% 8% 2% -83.0%
≤30d 483 -36.9% -42.9% 31% 25% -68.0%
≤90d 483 -36.9% -42.9% 31% 25% -68.0%
all 483 -36.9% -42.9% 31% 25% -68.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover270.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.9% 25% -68.0%
10% ← realistic here -48.4% 13% -71.0%
15% -53.4% 12% -73.8%
20% -57.9% 12% -76.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,725.99 · official $1,725.99 (match) · 3500 history records