Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:28:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80a3…d9fb
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$513 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$513 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$513
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses45 / 19
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$143
Trades / day169.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$513
7 days−$513
14 days−$513
30 days−$513
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $323 −$315 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $205 −$170 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $328 +$45 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$34 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $127 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $427 −$13 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$33 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $376 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $371 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $402 +$40 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $256 +$127 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$79 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $381 −$26 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $338 +$41 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $279 +$61 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $261 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $217 +$39 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $355 −$153 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $227 +$35 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$110 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $107 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$24 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $302 +$37 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $201 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $137 −$125 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $127 +$31 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $127 +$40 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$34 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $304 +$62 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $204 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $151 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$51 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$125 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$15 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$549
sports 2% +$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $102 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $102 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $102 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $29 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -2.3% -11.6% 70% 56% -14.0%
≤30d 64 -2.3% -11.6% 70% 56% -14.0%
≤90d 64 -2.3% -11.6% 70% 56% -14.0%
all 64 -2.3% -11.6% 70% 56% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 56% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 38% -22.2%
15% -27.8% 19% -29.7%
20% -34.9% 12% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 219 history records