trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 10 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 30% | 30% | -19.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 30% | -19.7% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 30% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 20% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 20% | -40.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $86 | $68 | −$18 (-21%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $24 | $20 | −$4 (-15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 11¢ | $31 | $19 | −$12 (-38%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $19 | −$12 (-39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Feb | Feb 01 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Jan 31 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jan 30 | $3,240 | −$1,172 | -36% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jan 30 | $711 | −$607 | -85% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | Nov 17 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $962 | −$53 | -6% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $200 | +$59 | +30% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 02 | $186 | +$523 | +281% |
| Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Oct 31 | $1,000 | −$297 | -30% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Oct 31 | $1,139 | +$758 | +66% |