Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8098…5646
sports · 849 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open −$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,812
Realized+$58
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses422 / 379
Est. fees paid−$281
Open positions60
Markets (closed)801 / 849
History coverage9d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day269.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 60 History 801 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days−$220
14 days+$58
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 81¢ $182 $717 +$535 (+293%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $297 $294 −$3 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ 32¢ $65 $64 −$1 (-2%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 75¢ 81¢ $58 $63 +$5 (+8%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $53 $51 −$2 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 59¢ 74¢ $39 $49 +$10 (+26%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 55¢ $43 $45 +$1 (+3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $32 $33 +$1 (+3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+3%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $22 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 54¢ $17 $19 +$1 (+8%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 68¢ 44¢ $28 $18 −$10 (-35%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 68¢ 19¢ $64 $18 −$46 (-72%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 90¢ 94¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 64¢ 100¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+55%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 37¢ 80¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+116%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 62¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 92¢ 93¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ 62¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $18 +$23 +131%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $57 −$14 -24%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $9 +$12 +134%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $30 +$14 +45%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $6 +$5 +73%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $18 +$7 +36%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $4 +$5 +101%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $25 −$14 -56%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $37 −$1 -4%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $22 +$8 +38%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $23 +$24 +103%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $28 −$10 -37%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $19 +$5 +28%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $20 −$6 -31%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $55 +$12 +22%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $215 −$147 -68%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $66 −$65 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $18 −$9 -50%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $55 +$13 +23%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +134%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $59 +$21 +36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $33 +$3 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $103 +$15 +15%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $306 −$306 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $44 −$11 -24%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $16 −$7 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$267
other 9% −$309
crypto 0% $0
world 0% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 20¢ $6 2m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 62¢ $17 3m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 29¢ $1 7m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ $1 9m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ $9 15m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 15¢ $1 15m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 50¢ $2 22m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $25 23m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 61¢ $1 26m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 29m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 56¢ $3 29m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $2 50m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $25 50m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 65¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 71¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 64¢ $8 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 64¢ $2 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 47¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 76¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $13 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 76¢ $9 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 65¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 40¢ $11 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 36¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 56¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 74¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 43¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 606 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 50% -10.7%
≤30d 801 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 51% -9.3%
≤90d 801 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 51% -9.3%
all 801 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 51% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover269.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 51% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 46% -18.0%
15% -23.8% 36% -25.9%
20% -31.3% 27% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,812.36 · official $1,812.37 (match) · 3500 history records