Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:08:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
80 0x8092…7426 crypto 150 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3363 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,731 (+38%) realized +$3,736 · open −$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -55% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -65% what you keep after slip
Net edge-65%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate25%72W / 213L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day3363.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$74now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$472
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3363 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-59.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 285 -54.8% -59.1% 25% 12% -65.9%
≤30d 285 -54.8% -59.1% 25% 12% -65.9%
≤90d 285 -54.8% -59.1% 25% 12% -65.9%
all 285 -54.8% -59.1% 25% 12% -65.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3363.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -59.1% 12% -65.9%
10% ← realistic here -63.0% 6% -69.2%
15% -66.6% 2% -72.2%
20% -69.9% 1% -74.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -62% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -55% · $-wt -62% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -14% → late -96% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
22.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$75 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.04 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$74
Realized+$3,736
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses72 / 213
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)285 / 150
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$65
Trades / day3363.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 285 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 39¢ 56¢ $26 $38 +$12 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 49¢ 44¢ $40 $35 −$5 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 149 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $87 −$87 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $93 −$93 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $74 −$74 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $182 −$182 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $36 −$36 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $157 −$157 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $109 −$109 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $229 −$229 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $88 −$88 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $200 −$200 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $200 −$200 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $200 −$200 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $101 −$101 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $250 −$250 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $225 −$225 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $105 −$105 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $64 −$64 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.65 · official $77.94 · 3500 history records