trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -50.4% | -55.2% | 43% | 43% | -25.6% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 70% | 57% | -7.0% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 70% | 57% | -7.0% |
| all | 23 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 70% | 57% | -7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 57% | -7.0% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 26% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 13% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 9% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17? | Yes | 40¢ | 46¢ | $38 | $44 | +$6 (+15%) |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17? | No | 66¢ | 63¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 17? | Yes | 35¢ | 36¢ | $8 | $8 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju | Jun 17 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju | Jun 16 | $20 | +$3 | +17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 15? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 9? | Jun 10 | $20 | +$3 | +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $15 | +$5 | +34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $25 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $21 | −$20 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 8? | Jun 09 | $25 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $25 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $10 | −$8 | -74% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $30 | +$4 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 6? | Jun 07 | $20 | +$3 | +17% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju | Jun 06 | $15 | −$3 | -19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5? | Jun 06 | $18 | +$12 | +66% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $9 | +$6 | +63% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $15 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $7 | +$2 | +30% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on June 2? | Jun 02 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |