Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8086…d8ee
crypto · 391 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$44 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses221 / 166
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)387 / 391
History coverage32d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$4
14 days−$1
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Team WE 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? No 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 $0 -14%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +21%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 07 $1 $0 +8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 -5%
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $1 $0 +6%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $2 $0 -20%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1 −$1 -66%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 01 $1 +$1 +55%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 +$1 +77%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $1 +$1 +111%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $1 +$1 +55%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $1 −$1 -70%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $1 $0 +7%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) May 30 $1 +$1 +55%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $1 −$1 -53%
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) May 29 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $1 −$1 -58%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $2 −$1 -49%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $1 $0 -40%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $2 +$1 +27%
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5) May 29 $1 +$1 +74%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $5 −$1 -14%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $2 $0 -24%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $1 $0 +28%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $2 $0 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$39
sports 18% −$9
other 5% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $2 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 35h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 36h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1 36h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $1 40h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 40h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 31¢ $2 40h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 34¢ $1 44h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 54¢ $1 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $1 3d
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 3d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $1 3d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 55¢ $1 4d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 4d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY No 16¢ $1 4d
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? BUY No 94¢ $1 5d
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) BUY Anyones Legend 69¢ $1 5d
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) SELL Top Esports 99¢ $1 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner SELL Top Esports 50¢ $1 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner BUY Top Esports 51¢ $1 6d
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Top Esports 91¢ $1 6d
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 62¢ $1 6d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY JD Gaming 30¢ $1 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 36¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 38% +7.8%
≤30d 333 -7.3% -16.1% 60% 46% -15.1%
≤90d 387 -10.3% -18.9% 57% 43% -17.6%
all 387 -10.3% -18.9% 57% 43% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 43% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 30% -25.4%
15% -33.7% 20% -32.6%
20% -40.2% 12% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.94 · official $8.94 (match) · 934 history records