Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:18:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
80 0x8069…edb9 crypto 76 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (197 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$82 (+3%) realized +$82 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate96%73W / 3L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day197.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (197 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +2.3% -7.4% 96% 0% -7.9%
≤30d 76 +2.3% -7.4% 96% 0% -7.9%
≤90d 76 +2.3% -7.4% 96% 0% -7.9%
all 76 +2.3% -7.4% 96% 0% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover197.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 0% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 0% -16.7%
15% -24.4% 0% -24.8%
20% -31.8% 0% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×8.45 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×205.52 per $1 lost it wins $205.52
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses73 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day197.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $31 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $31 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $21 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $31 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $21 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $31 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $31 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $20 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $21 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $31 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 237 history records