trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +10.1% | -0.4% | 100% | 38% | +3.4% |
| all | 19 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 89% | 21% | -19.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 21% | -19.9% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 11% | -27.6% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -34.6% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -41.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Canada election called by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $64 | $64 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May? | Jun 02 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | May 25 | $290 | +$99 | +34% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 15 | $225 | +$65 | +29% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $192 | +$33 | +17% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $191 | +$1 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $191 | $0 | +0% |
| Kings vs. Nets | Mar 30 | $191 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winner | Feb 15 | $556 | −$556 | -100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 02 | $262 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner | Feb 02 | $397 | +$87 | +22% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $3,600 on the final trading day of January | Jan 31 | $657 | +$1 | +0% |
| Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs BAIYAWAK - Game 1 Winner | Jan 09 | $657 | +$1 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $48 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $78 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Jan 02 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $810 | −$312 | -38% |