Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8067…ddf8
sports · 210 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses89 / 100
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions21
Markets (closed)189 / 210
History coverage536d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 21 History 189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$45
14 days+$17
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Hurricanes win the 2026 Stanley Cup 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Yes 26¢ 65¢ $2 $6 +$3 (+146%)
Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 78¢ 74¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? No 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 47¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 43¢ 31¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-29%)
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Rune Eaters 54¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Team Heretics 73¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? No 60¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-16%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 84¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Milwaukee Brewers 74¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 56¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 92¢ 93¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants KT Wiz 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? No 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 26¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+281%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$5 +83%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Morocco to win the second half? Jun 14 $4 +$2 +51%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 +$24 +388%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $6 +$23 +376%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $3 +$5 +159%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $6 −$5 -99%
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $2 $0 +32%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $6 +$3 +45%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$1 -22%
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch Jun 10 $4 +$6 +150%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +13%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $3 +$2 +58%
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 08 $3 +$2 +52%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Wo Jun 07 $1 $0 +5%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 07 $1 $0 +5%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $5 +$7 +134%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 $0 +26%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $11 −$1 -6%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $1 $0 +12%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $6 +$2 +32%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $7 +$5 +72%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $8 −$2 -22%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$2 +54%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 +$4 +65%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$6 -56%
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$58
other 5% +$32
politics 0% $0
world 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
weather 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY No 31¢ $1 15m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $4 15m
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY No 98¢ $1 24m
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY No 30¢ $1 43m
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 77¢ $2 1h
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY No 84¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $1 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 77¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 78¢ $4 2h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY No 31¢ $1 2h
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 2h
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 74¢ $2 3h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY No 31¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 47¢ $2 3h
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 75¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 47¢ $2 3h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY No 31¢ $1 4h
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) BUY Team Heretics 73¢ $4 4h
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 4h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 74¢ $1 5h
Morocco to win the second half? BUY No 5¢ $0 6h
Morocco to win the second half? BUY No 79¢ $4 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $3 7h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 38¢ $1 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $3 7h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 79¢ $4 8h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 6¢ $1 9h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? SELL No 27¢ $1 9h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY No 30¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +21.3% +9.8% 63% 54% +20.1%
≤30d 162 +0.7% -8.9% 50% 44% -4.9%
≤90d 166 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 44% -11.5%
all 189 -1.4% -10.8% 47% 40% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 40% -10.1%
10% -19.4% 35% -18.7%
15% -27.2% 29% -26.6%
20% -34.3% 24% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.31 · official $73.73 (match) · 504 history records