Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:39:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
80 0x8063…3f2e crypto 908 markets active 1h ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (116 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$617 (+32%) realized +$617 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate9%47W / 500L
Drawdown15%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day116.5pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$0
14 days+$673
30 days+$1,239
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$1,015
other 11% +$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (116 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 343 -63.6% -67.0% 2% 2% -41.1%
≤30d 547 +6.1% -4.0% 9% 9% +49.1%
≤90d 547 +6.1% -4.0% 9% 9% +49.1%
all 547 +6.1% -4.0% 9% 9% +49.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover116.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 9% +49.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 9% +34.8%
15% -21.6% 9% +21.8%
20% -29.3% 9% +9.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +95% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +95% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +70% → late -57% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$47 vs −$2 · ×23.96 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.25 per $1 lost it wins $2.25
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$617
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses47 / 500
Open positions0
Markets (closed)547 / 908
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day116.5
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 547 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$58 +9900%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2592 history records