Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:45:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x804d…632f
crypto · 451 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$175 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open +$125
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$721
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$125
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses216 / 234
Open positions1
Markets (closed)450 / 451
History coverage11d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day268.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 450 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$227
7 days+$209
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 48¢ 57¢ $596 $721 +$125 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $243 −$174 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $356 +$650 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$39 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$117 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$61 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$57 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $155 +$155 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $267 +$399 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $185 −$48 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $642 −$238 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $739 −$358 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $398 −$398 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $187 +$276 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $157 −$36 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$63 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $416 −$203 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$128 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $145 −$79 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $285 +$435 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $334 +$259 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $398 −$398 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $369 −$100 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $162 −$59 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$11 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $360 +$89 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $442 +$335 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $382 −$382 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$208 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$100 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $255 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $44 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -2.7% -11.9% 49% 46% -7.6%
≤30d 450 -6.2% -15.1% 48% 43% -9.1%
≤90d 450 -6.2% -15.1% 48% 43% -9.1%
all 450 -6.2% -15.1% 48% 43% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 43% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 41% -17.8%
15% -30.6% 39% -25.8%
20% -37.4% 36% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $720.83 · official $720.83 (match) · 3500 history records