trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 12% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 12% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 27 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 37% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 03 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 31 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 31 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 30 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $31 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 31 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | Jan 31 | $27 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 07 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 07 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 06 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 06 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 05 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 05 | $3 | +$1 | +20% |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | Oct 05 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | Oct 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 04 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 29 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 28 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, | Sep 28 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, | Sep 28 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 27 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? | Sep 27 | $1 | $0 | -0% |