Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8026…4005
other · 14 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$483 +53%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$469 · open −$249
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$120
Realized+$469
Unrealized−$249
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)8 / 14
History coverage14d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 6 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$97
7 days+$97
14 days+$88
30 days+$469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+3%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $54 $32 −$22 (-41%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+5%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-7%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $130 $1 −$129 (-99%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $100 $1 −$99 (-99%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Fenerbahce 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$177 +1725%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $104 −$100 -96%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $94 +$91 +97%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $184 +$436 +237%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $56 −$55 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% +$545
other 39% −$225
crypto 11% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 26m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 31m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 41m
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 48m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $26 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $102 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $15 5h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $15 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 34¢ $15 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $20 6h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $36 6h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 94¢ $188 9h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 9h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 5¢ $10 11h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 15¢ $10 11h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 35¢ $10 11h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $14 11d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $15 11d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $15 11d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $104 11d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 100¢ $619 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 50¢ $94 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 14d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 29¢ $184 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+166.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +356.2% +312.7% 25% 25% +88.3%
≤30d 8 +194.9% +166.8% 38% 38% +71.7%
≤90d 8 +194.9% +166.8% 38% 38% +71.7%
all 8 +194.9% +166.8% 38% 38% +71.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +166.8% 38% +71.7%
10% +141.3% 38% +55.3%
15% +117.9% 38% +40.3%
20% +96.6% 38% +26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $120.03 · official $122.17 · 38 history records