Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:53:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
80 0x8022…fc31 crypto 206 markets active 3d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (826 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,927 (-36%) realized −$2,927 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -66% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -74% what you keep after slip
Net edge-74%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate15%85W / 500L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day826.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$408
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (826 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-69.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 553 -70.2% -73.0% 12% 12% -63.4%
≤30d 585 -65.8% -69.0% 15% 14% -61.1%
≤90d 585 -65.8% -69.0% 15% 14% -61.1%
all 585 -65.8% -69.0% 15% 14% -61.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover826.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -69.0% 14% -61.1%
10% ← realistic here -72.0% 14% -64.8%
15% -74.7% 14% -68.2%
20% -77.2% 13% -71.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -57% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -66% · $-wt -57% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -45% → late -86% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
16.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$34 vs −$22 · ×1.54 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.26 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,927
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses85 / 500
Open positions0
Markets (closed)585 / 206
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$40
Trades / day826.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 585 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$21 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$31 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $38 −$36 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$12 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records