trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -55.8% | -60.0% | 33% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 57 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 35% | 33% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.7% | 33% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -29.2% | 33% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -36.1% | 33% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 28% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $9,830 | $9,835 | +$5 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26? | Jun 29 | $9,805 | +$25 | +0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 19 | $3 | −$2 | -68% |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Dec 02 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Dec 02 | $3 | +$4 | +138% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Dec 01 | $5 | −$1 | -25% |
| Bulls vs. Hornets | Dec 01 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Canadiens vs. Golden Knights | Dec 01 | $1 | +$2 | +178% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Dec 01 | $4 | +$5 | +138% |
| Canadiens vs. Utah | Nov 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Red Wings | Nov 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Penguins | Nov 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets | Nov 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 27 | $3 | +$2 | +79% |
| Red Wings vs. Devils | Nov 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pelicans | Nov 25 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bucks | Nov 25 | $3 | +$3 | +113% |
| Avalanche vs. Predators | Nov 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Islanders | Nov 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Nov 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Nov 24 | $4 | +$4 | +113% |
| Devils vs. Flyers | Nov 24 | $4 | +$4 | +108% |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | Nov 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Canadiens | Nov 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. 76ers | Nov 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Mavericks | Nov 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Wild | Nov 20 | $3 | +$4 | +138% |
| Devils vs. Lightning | Nov 19 | $4 | +$2 | +67% |
| Hurricanes vs. Bruins | Nov 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Nov 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. 76ers | Nov 18 | $3 | +$1 | +54% |
| Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State | Nov 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Knicks | Nov 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Bucks | Nov 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| TCU vs. BYU | Nov 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Blues | Nov 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Nov 16 | $4 | +$2 | +41% |
| Bruins vs. Senators | Nov 14 | $7 | $0 | -7% |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat | Nov 13 | $6 | +$2 | +37% |
| Bulls vs. Pistons | Nov 13 | $4 | +$3 | +72% |
| Suns vs. Mavericks | Nov 13 | $4 | +$4 | +92% |
| Stars vs. Senators | Nov 12 | $3 | +$3 | +104% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 15 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Mariners vs. Rangers | Jul 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Islanders | Apr 02 | $22 | +$13 | +59% |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | Mar 28 | $17 | +$38 | +223% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Feb 20 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. 76ers | Feb 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | Feb 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 20 | $6 | −$1 | -25% |