Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8017…3366
sports · 218 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$2,515 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,275 · open +$644
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,714
Realized−$3,275
Unrealized+$644
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses155 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$149
Open positions1
Markets (closed)217 / 218
History coverage258d
Avg bet$371
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 217 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$543
7 days−$610
14 days−$184
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 81¢ 99¢ $3,070 $3,714 +$644 (+21%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 86¢ 0¢ $237 $0 −$237 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Trump" during announcement today? No 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $271 $0 −$271 (-100%)
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? No 1¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? No 11¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9? No 49¢ 0¢ $631 $0 −$631 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline Thunder 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline Lakers 72¢ 0¢ $231 $0 −$231 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Hawks Hawks 83¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 Over 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $795 $0 −$795 (-100%)
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week? No 63¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crazy" or "Kamala" during Pennsylvania events on December 9? No 25¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 75¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9? No 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,182 +$73 +6%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,114 +$68 +6%
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $967 +$148 +15%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 Jun 14 $1,144 −$710 -62%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $952 −$419 -44%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,735 +$68 +4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $586 −$555 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $12 +$96 +786%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $318 −$43 -14%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 13 $2,677 +$93 +4%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $1,686 +$17 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2,496 +$17 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $2,362 +$134 +6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2,013 +$349 +17%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $1,892 +$121 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $50 +$30 +60%
Set Handicap: Mrva (-1.5) vs Tseng (+1.5) Jun 11 $25 $0 +1%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $2,493 +$163 +6%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 197.5 Jun 11 $1,219 +$168 +14%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5 Jun 11 $1,084 +$176 +16%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 11 $1,130 +$161 +14%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,549 −$809 -52%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $53 −$22 -42%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 11 $86 +$10 +12%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5) Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $673 −$221 -33%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,873 +$164 +9%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $3,517 +$98 +3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3,550 −$104 -3%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $427 +$73 +17%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $6 +$2 +31%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $325 +$30 +9%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3,306 +$215 +6%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 09 $360 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$50 -97%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $285 −$274 -96%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $135 −$110 -81%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $101 +$54 +54%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $804 +$187 +23%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 09 $17 +$2 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $930 +$76 +8%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $178 +$8 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 09 $413 +$12 +3%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 09 $49 +$1 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5 Jun 09 $47 +$1 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Jun 09 $326 +$4 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5 Jun 09 $248 +$42 +17%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 09 $669 +$97 +14%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $3,157 +$371 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$1,343
other 23% +$349
world 7% +$771
crypto 7% −$1,006
politics 3% −$1,155
tech 2% +$137
culture 1% −$448
finance 1% +$60
economics 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $180 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $1,002 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $1,182 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $1,114 2h
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $1,114 2h
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 86¢ $967 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 SELL Over 32¢ $370 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 SELL Over 42¢ $47 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 SELL Over 42¢ $14 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 SELL Over 43¢ $2 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 SELL Over 50¢ $533 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 BUY Over 85¢ $222 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 BUY Over 85¢ $248 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 BUY Over 85¢ $674 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 88¢ $284 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 88¢ $376 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 88¢ $30 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 5¢ $30 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 96¢ $586 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 88¢ $141 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 87¢ $121 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $448 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $10 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $276 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $1,002 10h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp SELL Mia Pohankova 82¢ $275 15h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Mia Pohankova 94¢ $318 15h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 16h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 16h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +3.9% -6.0% 71% 31% -9.6%
≤30d 66 +6.9% -3.3% 74% 36% -8.9%
≤90d 66 +6.9% -3.3% 74% 36% -8.9%
all 217 -4.8% -13.8% 71% 42% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 42% -12.6%
10% -22.1% 24% -21.0%
15% -29.6% 11% -28.6%
20% -36.5% 7% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,714.11 · official $3,714.11 (match) · 814 history records