Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:56:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8012…81ac
crypto · 364 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$786 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$786 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$786
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses251 / 113
Open positions0
Markets (closed)364 / 364
History coverage29d
Avg bet$129
Trades / day108.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$746
7 days−$523
14 days−$838
30 days−$786
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $298 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $317 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $308 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $313 −$13 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $307 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $327 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $318 −$18 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $329 −$29 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$786
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $191 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $84 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $242 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $169 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $61 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $77 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $156 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 -2.2% -11.5% 87% 1% -10.7%
≤30d 364 -2.2% -11.5% 69% 11% -11.0%
≤90d 364 -2.2% -11.5% 69% 11% -11.0%
all 364 -2.2% -11.5% 69% 11% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 11% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 7% -19.6%
15% -27.7% 4% -27.3%
20% -34.8% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records