Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x800c…4866
crypto · 937 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$632 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$632 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$233
Realized−$632
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses257 / 549
Open positions0
Markets (closed)806 / 937
History coverage4d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day854.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,172
7 days−$632
14 days−$632
30 days−$632
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $79 $102 +$23 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $41 $65 +$24 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $27 $45 +$18 (+66%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+99%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+144%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$24 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$18 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +156%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$2,010
other 9% +$14
tech 5% +$394
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 806 -8.6% -17.3% 32% 30% -14.9%
≤30d 806 -8.6% -17.3% 32% 30% -14.9%
≤90d 806 -8.6% -17.3% 32% 30% -14.9%
all 806 -8.6% -17.3% 32% 30% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover854.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 30% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 25% -23.1%
15% -32.4% 21% -30.5%
20% -39.0% 19% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $233.01 · official $231.42 (match) · 3500 history records