Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:12:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7ffd…08fa
sports · 405 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$633 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$633 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$633
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses212 / 192
Est. fees paid−$151
Open positions1
Markets (closed)404 / 405
History coverage33d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 404 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$136
7 days+$59
14 days+$365
30 days+$606
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 54¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Brandon Nakashima 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Aurora 42¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 58¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 39¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs Inner Circle Esports 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Tommy Paul 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B BET-M 33 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov Timofey Skatov 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $30 +$22 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$19 +93%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $36 +$15 +41%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$31 +237%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $19 −$6 -29%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $77 −$27 -34%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$13 +64%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $14 +$17 +118%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $6 +$6 +99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$20 +64%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7 −$2 -22%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $30 −$2 -7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $39 +$22 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $78 +$31 +40%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $24 −$8 -32%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $34 −$9 -28%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 −$13 -60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $19 +$10 +54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$25 +123%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $13 −$4 -33%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $48 −$15 -32%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $7 +$3 +43%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $12 −$12 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $20 +$32 +158%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $73 −$23 -32%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $17 +$16 +93%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $111 +$106 +95%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $21 −$11 -51%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $24 +$27 +109%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $41 +$33 +82%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$22 +109%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $19 +$27 +139%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $61 +$40 +66%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $50 −$49 -98%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual Jun 08 $41 +$20 +48%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stag Jun 08 $52 $0 +0%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $11 −$4 -38%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO5) - Winline Star Series Playo Jun 07 $30 +$26 +85%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $54 +$55 +101%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $35 −$35 -99%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Grou Jun 07 $19 +$16 +84%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $28 +$26 +93%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $20 +$8 +38%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $20 −$20 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$620
other 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $11 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $53 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $51 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $45 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $13 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 23¢ $14 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $19 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 13¢ $10 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 26¢ $20 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $7 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 42¢ $27 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $33 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $31 8h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $31 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $20 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $29 9h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 45¢ $14 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 35¢ $14 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $22 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $12 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $50 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $30 10h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 58¢ $20 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $6 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 59¢ $6 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +2.4% -7.3% 49% 48% -6.6%
≤30d 344 +6.4% -3.7% 54% 53% -2.4%
≤90d 404 +5.3% -4.7% 52% 51% -3.0%
all 404 +5.3% -4.7% 52% 51% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 51% -3.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 50% -12.3%
15% -22.2% 50% -20.7%
20% -29.8% 44% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.12 · official $11.12 (match) · 822 history records