trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -67.8% | -70.8% | 25% | 25% | -74.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 73% | 53% | -30.8% |
| all | 23 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 70% | 39% | -30.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.6% | 39% | -30.8% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 26% | -37.4% |
| 15% | -36.8% | 13% | -43.5% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 9% | -49.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Uruguay | 66¢ | 66¢ | $97 | $98 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $78 | +$23 | +29% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 09 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees | Jun 02 | $142 | −$140 | -99% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 28 | $86 | −$85 | -99% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies | May 19 | $83 | +$69 | +83% |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs | May 15 | $119 | −$118 | -99% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | May 15 | $44 | +$18 | +40% |
| Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoff | May 15 | $47 | +$44 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 15 | $76 | +$20 | +26% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Apr 24 | $8 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | Apr 24 | $9 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 24 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Apr 24 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31? | Apr 24 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Apr 24 | $67 | +$21 | +31% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | Feb 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026? | Feb 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa | Feb 07 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 03 | $17 | +$3 | +20% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of January | Feb 03 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $170 end of January? | Feb 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | Jan 07 | $16 | $0 | +0% |