trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -15.7% | -23.8% | 25% | 25% | +7.1% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -47.7% | -52.6% | 19% | 19% | -32.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -50.5% | -55.2% | 16% | 16% | -40.4% |
| all | 25 | -50.5% | -55.2% | 16% | 16% | -40.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.2% | 16% | -40.4% |
| 10% | -59.5% | 12% | -46.1% |
| 15% | -63.4% | 12% | -51.3% |
| 20% | -67.0% | 12% | -56.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: England (-3.5) | England | 21¢ | 20¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-21%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $23 | $6 | −$17 (-74%) |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $8 | $5 | −$3 (-41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 | Jun 23 | $31 | −$18 | -58% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$10 | -67% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? | Jun 21 | $15 | +$13 | +84% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | +$69 | +226% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$9 | +169% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$4 | +18% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 01 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $5 | −$3 | -61% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | May 24 | $10 | −$6 | -55% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | May 24 | $6 | $0 | -7% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | May 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Apr 14 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |