Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:30:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fea…5424
sports · 1341 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$7 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$10
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1242 / 93
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1335 / 1341
History coverage41d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day67.8
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 6 History 1335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$2
14 days−$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Under 99¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Under 97¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? No 81¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 Under 92¢ 75¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Blues win? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$1 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Unics Kazan vs. CSKA Moscow Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 +12%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $7 $0 +3%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ireland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Alba Berlin vs. Brose Bamberg Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$10
other 37% +$16
world 1% +$1
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 81¢ $1 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 99¢ $3 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 97¢ $2 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $1 9h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 99¢ $5 14h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 97¢ $1 14h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 97¢ $1 14h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $3 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $25 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $2 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $6 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $1 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 16h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 88¢ $1 16h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 91¢ $1 16h
Will Blues win? BUY No 94¢ $1 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 97¢ $2 21h
Valencia vs. Joventut SELL Valencia 100¢ $6 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $2 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $2 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $1 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $2 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $4 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -0.8% -10.2% 89% 11% -10.0%
≤30d 911 -0.1% -9.6% 92% 8% -9.3%
≤90d 1335 +0.1% -9.4% 93% 8% -9.3%
all 1335 +0.1% -9.4% 93% 8% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 8% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 1% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.09 · official $10.09 (match) · 3500 history records