trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -15.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 7 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 17 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 17 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 17 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | May 17 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 17 | $11 | $0 | -0% |