Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:59:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fe5…3727
crypto · 685 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$111 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$115 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized+$115
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses332 / 352
Open positions1
Markets (closed)684 / 685
History coverage2d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day1148.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 684 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$115
14 days+$115
30 days+$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 0¢ 62¢ $0 $19 +$19 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 51¢ 38¢ $15 $12 −$4 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$8 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$16 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$27 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$18 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$19 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$23 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$27 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$14 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$28 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$10 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $18 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $28 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 684 -3.6% -12.8% 49% 44% -9.0%
≤30d 684 -3.6% -12.8% 49% 44% -9.0%
≤90d 684 -3.6% -12.8% 49% 44% -9.0%
all 684 -3.6% -12.8% 49% 44% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1148.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 44% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 37% -17.7%
15% -28.7% 28% -25.7%
20% -35.7% 23% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.01 · official $30.66 (match) · 3500 history records