Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7F
0x7fde…0ab6
crypto · 1344 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$369 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$369 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$369
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses891 / 452
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1343 / 1344
History coverage26d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day106.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1343 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$26
14 days−$158
30 days−$369
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$6 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$369
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -3.5% -12.7% 76% 8% -12.2%
≤30d 1343 -5.2% -14.3% 66% 14% -14.0%
≤90d 1343 -5.2% -14.3% 66% 14% -14.0%
all 1343 -5.2% -14.3% 66% 14% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 14% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 8% -22.2%
15% -30.0% 3% -29.7%
20% -36.8% 2% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records